Platense vs Lanus: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Lanus the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lanus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Lanus?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Platense (1,867) and Lanus (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Platense vs Lanus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Platense
4-2-3-1- 79B. Sepúlveda
- 7G. Mainero
- 43N. Retamar
- 24M. Barrios
- 18B. Merlini
- 26P. Ferreira
- 31V. Cuesta
- 4A. Lagos
- 3T. Silva
- 34M. Mendia
- 30J. Cozzani
Lanus
4-2-3-1- 20A. Wlk
- 11E. Salvio
- 30A. Cardozo
- 77L. Besozzi
- 5F. Peña
- 8F. Watson
- 24C. Izquierdoz
- 6S. Marcich
- 33T. Guidara
- 35R. De Jesús
- 26N. Losada
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lanus have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Platense win, 3 draws, 2 Lanus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Lanus 0-0 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lanus 2-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Platense 0-0 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Lanus 0-0 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Lanus 3-0 Platense | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Platense 2-1 Lanus | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lanus score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Lanus | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 13th in Liga Profesional Argentina (10 points from 11 matches) and Lanus sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Platense vs Lanus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Lanus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanus the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Platense.
- Where and when is Platense vs Lanus played?
- Platense vs Lanus is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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