Platense vs Lanus: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Lanus the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense vs Lanus?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Platense (1,813) and Lanus (1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lanus have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Platense win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lanus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Lanus 0-0 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lanus 2-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Platense 0-0 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Lanus 0-0 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Lanus 3-0 Platense | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Platense 2-1 Lanus | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
How many goals should we expect?
Platense score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lanus score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lanus | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense sit 12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (16 points from 16 matches) and Lanus sit 6th (24 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 7 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense vs Lanus?
- The Footlab model makes Lanus the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Platense.
- Where and when is Platense vs Lanus played?
- Platense vs Lanus is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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