Racing Club vs Independiente: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Racing Club the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Independiente. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Club vs Independiente?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Racing Club (1,918) and Independiente (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Independiente have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-4 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Racing Club win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Independiente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Independiente 1-0 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Racing Club 0-0 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Independiente 1-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Racing Club 0-0 Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Independiente 0-1 Racing Club | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Racing Club 0-2 Independiente | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Independiente vs Racing Club on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Club score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Independiente | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Club sit 8th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Independiente sit 5th (24 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 5 | Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 21 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Club vs Independiente?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Club the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Independiente.
- Where and when is Racing Club vs Independiente played?
- Racing Club vs Independiente is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsGimnasia M.
- Oct 18, 2026Belgrano CordobavsRiver Plate
- Oct 18, 2026Defensa Y JusticiavsInstituto Cordoba
- Oct 18, 2026HuracanvsGimnasia L.P.
- Oct 18, 2026BanfieldvsArgentinos JRS
- Oct 18, 2026Estudiantes L.P.vsSan Lorenzo
- Oct 18, 2026Boca JuniorsvsTalleres Cordoba
- Oct 18, 2026Atletico TucumanvsRosario Central