Auckland vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Adelaide United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Adelaide United?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Auckland (1,833) and Adelaide United (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auckland vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auckland
4-4-2- 10L. Bayliss
- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 77L. Brook
- 22J. Brimmer
- 8F. Gallegos
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 25L. Vicelich
- 1M. Woud
Adelaide United
4-2-3-1- 35Brody Burkitt
- 55E. Alagich
- 10Juan Muñiz
- 11C. Goodwin
- 58H. Crawford
- 87Anselmo
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 62F. Talladira
- 7R. Kitto
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Adelaide United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 2-5 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Auckland wins, 4 draws, 0 Adelaide United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United 0-3 Auckland | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Adelaide United 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Auckland 2-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Auckland 4-4 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide United vs Auckland on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 6th in A-League (3 points from 2 matches) and Adelaide United sit 11th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Auckland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Adelaide United.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Adelaide United played?
- Auckland vs Adelaide United is played on January 1, 2027 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.