Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners?
On Elo ratings, Auckland has 1,837 points and Central Coast Mariners 1,738.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auckland
4-4-2- 10L. Bayliss
- 35J. Bidois
- 27L. Rogerson
- 77L. Brook
- 7C. Howieson
- 22J. Brimmer
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 23R. Wynne
- 1M. Woud
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Auckland wins, 2 draws, 1 Central Coast Mariners win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Auckland 2-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Auckland 2-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 1-4 Auckland | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 3rd in A-League (42 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 29 | 42 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
A question about Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners is played on March 7, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.