Match

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction and stats

A-LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Central Coast MarinersWellington Phoenix

The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wellington Phoenix wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Central Coast Mariners (1,726) and Wellington Phoenix (1,749).

29%25%46%
Central Coast Mariners winDrawWellington Phoenix win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Central Coast Mariners

4-4-2
  1. 9O. Lavale
  2. 37B. Brandtman
  1. 72A. Auglah
  2. 8C. Donnell
  3. 6H. Eames
  4. 41Shumba Mutokoyi
  1. 5L. Mauragis
  2. 15S. Roux
  3. 12Noah McCann
  4. 3Samuel Dikoš
  1. 30A. Redmayne

Wellington Phoenix

4-3-3
  1. 99C. Piper
  2. 9R. Durán
  3. 7B. Duke
  1. 25K. Nagasawa
  2. 8M. Anderson
  3. 8P. Retre
  1. 28B. Tuiloma
  2. 18L. Kelly-Heald
  3. 27M. Sheridan
  4. 23J. McGarry
  1. 13H. Gray

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Coast Mariners have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Wellington Phoenix have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Central Coast Mariners
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Newcastle Jets(home)2-2A-League
Sep 12, 2026Vanuatu United(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 9, 2026Vanuatu United(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Sydney United(away)1-1Australia Cup
Apr 25, 2026Newcastle Jets(away)0-4A-League
Wellington Phoenix
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Melbourne Victory(home)2-1A-League
Apr 24, 2026Macarthur(away)0-4A-League
Apr 18, 2026Western Sydney Wanderers(home)2-1A-League
Apr 12, 2026Melbourne City(away)0-2A-League
Apr 5, 2026Melbourne Victory(away)1-0A-League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Coast Mariners wins, 2 draws, 2 Wellington Phoenix wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 21, 2025Wellington Phoenix 3-1 Central Coast MarinersA-League
Nov 2, 2025Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Wellington PhoenixA-League
Jan 25, 2025Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast MarinersA-League
Nov 10, 2024Central Coast Mariners 0-3 Wellington PhoenixA-League
Oct 6, 2024Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Wellington PhoenixFriendlies Clubs
Apr 6, 2024Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Wellington PhoenixA-League

Last archived meeting: Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners on Dec 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Central Coast Mariners score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wellington Phoenix score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Central Coast Mariners1.41.7211/1510/15
Wellington Phoenix1.31.838/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Central Coast Mariners sit 4th in A-League (1 point from 1 match) and Wellington Phoenix sit 2nd (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Wellington Phoenix1100213
4Central Coast Mariners1010221

A question about Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix?
The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Central Coast Mariners.
Where and when is Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix played?
Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix is played on March 13, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Industree Group Stadium, in the A-League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix

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