Auckland vs Sydney: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Auckland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sydney wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Sydney?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Auckland (1,838) and Sydney (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auckland vs Sydney
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auckland
4-4-2- 10L. Bayliss
- 35J. Bidois
- 27L. Rogerson
- 77L. Brook
- 7C. Howieson
- 22J. Brimmer
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 23R. Wynne
- 1M. Woud
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 90O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 15J. Hollman
- 36R. Youlley
- 35A. Toure
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 12Harrison Devenish-Meares
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sydney have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Auckland wins, 4 draws, 0 Sydney wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Auckland 1-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sydney 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Sydney 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Auckland 1-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sydney 1-1 Auckland | Australia Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sydney 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 3rd in A-League (42 points from 26 matches) and Sydney sit 5th (39 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 29 | 42 |
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
A question about Auckland vs Sydney?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Sydney?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Auckland.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Sydney played?
- Auckland vs Sydney is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.