Auckland vs Sydney: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Footlab model makes Auckland the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sydney. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auckland vs Sydney?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Auckland (1,925) and Sydney (1,919).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auckland have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Sydney have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-0 | A-League |
| May 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 0-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Auckland win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Sydney win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Auckland 1-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sydney 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Sydney 1-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Auckland 1-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sydney 1-1 Auckland | Australia Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sydney 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
How many goals should we expect?
Auckland score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sydney score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sydney | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auckland sit 3rd in A-League (42 points from 26 matches) and Sydney sit 5th (39 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 29 | 42 |
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auckland vs Sydney?
- The Footlab model makes Auckland the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sydney.
- Where and when is Auckland vs Sydney played?
- Auckland vs Sydney is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Go Media Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.