Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Auriense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportivo La Coruna wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,253 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Deportivo La Coruna is a heavy favourite: 2,085 Elo points against 1,758, a 327-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auriense
Not enough data to predict the Auriense lineup.
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2- 32B. Nsongo
- 10Peke
- 21Mario Soriano
- 8Diego Villares
- 11David Mella
- 19Luismi Cruz
- 12G. Quagliata
- 20J. Giménez
- 15Miguel Loureiro
- 23Ximo Navarro
- 13Leo Román
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 10:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Auriense have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Deportivo La Coruna have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Auriense score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 2; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auriense | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
A question about Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Auriense.
- Where and when is Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
- Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna is played on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.