Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olaranbe, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab model makes Aurrerá Vitoria the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for San Ignacio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Aurrerá Vitoria (1,701) and San Ignacio (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurrerá Vitoria have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; San Ignacio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Deusto(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Derio(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Touring(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aurrerá Vitoria win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 San Ignacio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria 0-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | San Ignacio 3-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Aurrerá Vitoria 0-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | San Ignacio 0-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aurrerá Vitoria score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurrerá Vitoria | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurrerá Vitoria sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (54 points from 34 matches) and San Ignacio sit 7th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab model makes Aurrerá Vitoria the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for San Ignacio.
- Where and when is Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio played?
- Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olaranbe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.