Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Generali Arena, Wien
The Footlab model makes Austria Vienna the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?
Austria Vienna starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Vienna have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Austria Lustenau have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Austria Vienna win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Austria Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2024 | Austria Lustenau 2-0 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Austria Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Austria Vienna 1-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-2 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Austria Vienna 5-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 1-1 Austria Vienna | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Austria Lustenau vs Austria Vienna on May 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Vienna score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Vienna sit 9th in Bundesliga (3 points from 3 matches) and Austria Lustenau sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes Austria Vienna the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau played?
- Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Generali Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.