Auxerre vs Angers: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
The Footlab model makes Auxerre the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Angers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auxerre vs Angers?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Auxerre (1,950) and Angers (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auxerre have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Angers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Auxerre win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Angers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Auxerre 3-1 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Angers 2-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Angers 2-0 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Auxerre 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Auxerre 1-0 Angers | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Angers 2-2 Auxerre | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Auxerre score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Angers score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Angers | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auxerre sit 15th in Ligue 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Angers sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 48 | 36 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 44 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Angers?
- The Footlab model makes Auxerre the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Angers.
- Where and when is Auxerre vs Angers played?
- Auxerre vs Angers is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.