Operario-PR vs Sport Recife: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa, Paraná
The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sport Recife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Operario-PR (1,835) and Sport Recife (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Operario-PR have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sport Recife have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Operario-PR win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sport Recife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sport Recife 2-2 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Operario-PR 2-1 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Sport Recife 1-2 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Sport Recife 5-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Operario-PR 0-0 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Sport Recife 3-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Sport Recife vs Operario-PR on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Operario-PR score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Recife score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sport Recife | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Operario-PR sit 8th in Serie B (36 points from 24 matches) and Sport Recife sit 6th (38 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?
- The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sport Recife.
- Where and when is Operario-PR vs Sport Recife played?
- Operario-PR vs Sport Recife is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Germano Krüger, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.