Ceara vs America Mineiro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for America Mineiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,916 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs America Mineiro?
On Elo ratings, Ceara has 1,677 points and America Mineiro 1,580.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs America Mineiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 1Richard
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 26Richardson
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 31Bryan
- 12Sanchez
- 33Éder
- 23Caíque França
America Mineiro
4-2-3-1- 9Willian
- 20Paulo Victor
- 88Barreto
- 77M. Segovia
- 7Guilherme Parede
- 93J. Jiménez
- 4Rafael Barcelos
- 25T. Ostchega
- 45Ricardo Silva
- 3L. Sosa
- 91Bruno Brígido
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; America Mineiro have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Goias(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceara wins, 3 draws, 1 America Mineiro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | America Mineiro 1-1 Ceara | Serie B |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Ceara 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2024 | America Mineiro 2-2 Ceara | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Ceara 1-2 America Mineiro | Serie A |
| Jun 8, 2022 | America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara | Serie A |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Ceara 0-0 America Mineiro | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: America Mineiro vs Ceara on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; America Mineiro score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| America Mineiro | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 16th in Serie B (43 points from 36 matches) and America Mineiro sit 19th (26 points from 36 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 43 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | 26 |
A question about Ceara vs America Mineiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs America Mineiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for America Mineiro.
- Where and when is Ceara vs America Mineiro played?
- Ceara vs America Mineiro is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.