Vila Nova vs Criciuma: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab AI model makes Vila Nova the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Criciuma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vila Nova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Vila Nova (1,782) and Criciuma (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vila Nova vs Criciuma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vila Nova
4-2-3-1- 7André Luís
- 10Marquinhos Gabriel
- 99Janderson
- 5João Vieira
- 15Dudu
- 17Everton Galdino
- 4Douglas Mendes
- 22Hayner
- 6Higor
- 23Jonathan Costa
- 1Helton Leite
Criciuma
4-3-3- 10Jhonata Robert
- 9Nicolas
- 91R. Otero
- 14Ronald
- 7Fellipe Mateus
- 41Jean Irmer
- 4Luciano Castán
- 22Marcelo Hermes
- 3Rodrigo
- 6Marcinho
- 32Airton
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Nova have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Criciuma have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Avai(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vila Nova win, 2 draws, 3 Criciuma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Criciuma 2-0 Vila Nova | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Vila Nova 1-1 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Criciuma 1-0 Vila Nova | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Criciuma 1-0 Vila Nova | Serie B |
| May 12, 2023 | Vila Nova 0-0 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Vila Nova 1-0 Criciuma | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Criciuma vs Vila Nova on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Nova score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Criciuma score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 1.4 | 0.7 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Criciuma | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vila Nova sit 1st in Serie B (61 points from 33 matches) and Criciuma sit 5th (56 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 56 |
A question about Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vila Nova the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Criciuma.
- Where and when is Vila Nova vs Criciuma played?
- Vila Nova vs Criciuma is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.