Cremonese vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
The Footlab model makes Cremonese the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cremonese vs Catanzaro?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Cremonese (1,899) and Catanzaro (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cremonese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Monza(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cremonese win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Catanzaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Catanzaro 1-2 Cremonese | Serie B |
| May 25, 2024 | Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| May 21, 2024 | Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cremonese 0-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Cremonese vs Catanzaro on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cremonese score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Catanzaro | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cremonese sit 18th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Catanzaro sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cremonese vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab model makes Cremonese the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Cremonese vs Catanzaro played?
- Cremonese vs Catanzaro is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Zini, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.