Cremonese vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
The Footlab AI model makes Cremonese the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cremonese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cremonese vs Catanzaro?
On Elo ratings, Cremonese has 1,910 points and Catanzaro 1,858.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cremonese vs Catanzaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cremonese
4-2-3-1- 90F. Bonazzoli
- 27J. Vandeputte
- 2M. Thorsby
- 18M. Collocolo
- 33A. Grassi
- 71S. Elia
- 15M. Bianchetti
- 5S. Luperto
- 6F. Baschirotto
- 3G. Pezzella
- 1A. Fulignati
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 98N. Mosti
- 30G. Alesi
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 62R. Frosinini
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 3M. Imperiale
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cremonese have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Padova(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cremonese wins, 3 draws, 0 Catanzaro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Catanzaro 1-2 Cremonese | Serie B |
| May 25, 2024 | Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| May 21, 2024 | Catanzaro 2-2 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cremonese 0-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Cremonese vs Catanzaro on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cremonese score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Catanzaro | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cremonese sit 15th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Catanzaro sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Cremonese vs Catanzaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cremonese vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cremonese the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Cremonese vs Catanzaro played?
- Cremonese vs Catanzaro is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Zini, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.