Match

Avro vs Bury: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester

AvroBury

The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Bury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avro vs Bury?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Avro (1,859) and Bury (1,897).

Avro win42 %
Draw27 %
Bury win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Bury have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hyde United(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Workington(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Alfreton Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Bamber Bridge(away)6-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Quorn(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Bury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)2-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Rylands(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Curzon Ashton(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)0-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Avro win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bury win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Bury 1-1 AvroNon League Div One - Northern West
Aug 13, 2025Avro 1-1 BuryNon League Div One - Northern West
Aug 17, 2024Avro 1-2 BuryFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Bury vs Avro on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avro3.31.3310/1514/15
Bury2.00.868/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avro sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 5 matches) and Bury sit 7th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Avro540113612
7Bury53117510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avro vs Bury?
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Bury.
Where and when is Avro vs Bury played?
Avro vs Bury is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Avro and Bury

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