Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Curzon Ashton (1,869) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,897).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stalybridge Celtic(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (22 points from 13 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 5th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 25 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 22 |
A question about Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.