Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lancaster City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Ilkeston Town (1,634) and Lancaster City (1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilkeston Town
4-3-3- OO. Brown-Hill
- ZZ. Goodson
- JJ. Watts
- JJack Thomas
- JJ. Reid
- BBilly Bennett
- JJ. Maguire
- KK. Fenton
- AA. Troke
- RRyan Wilson
- RR. Durrant
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Lancaster City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilkeston Town wins, 0 draws, 4 Lancaster City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lancaster City 2-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ilkeston Town 3-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Lancaster City 3-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 4-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Lancaster City 4-3 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 2-3 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 16 matches) and Lancaster City sit 12th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 13 |
A question about Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.