Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guiseley AFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Guiseley AFC starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Leek Town win, 2 draws, 2 Guiseley AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 4-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Leek Town 4-0 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Leek Town 2-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 1-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town on Nov 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Guiseley AFC | 2.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 16 matches) and Guiseley AFC sit 3rd (32 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 32 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 37 | 14 |
A question about Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC played?
- Leek Town vs Guiseley AFC is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Alfreton TownvsRedcar Athletic
- Feb 6, 2027Curzon AshtonvsGainsborough Trinity
- Feb 6, 2027Ilkeston TownvsLancaster City
- Feb 6, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsWorkington
- Feb 6, 2027Warrington TownvsAshton United
- Feb 6, 2027Whitby TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Feb 6, 2027AvrovsBury
- Feb 6, 2027QuornvsBamber Bridge