Avro vs Chester: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Chester?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Avro (1,813) and Chester (1,841).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avro vs Chester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chester have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chester | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Avro vs Chester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Chester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Chester.
- Where and when is Avro vs Chester played?
- Avro vs Chester is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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