Quorn vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Quorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs Avro?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Quorn (1,764) and Avro (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Quorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Avro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avro 2-1 Quorn | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 21 | Quorn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Avro?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Quorn.
- Where and when is Quorn vs Avro played?
- Quorn vs Avro is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026BuryvsRedcar Athletic
- Nov 21, 2026Alfreton TownvsCurzon Ashton
- Nov 21, 2026WorkingtonvsGainsborough Trinity
- Nov 21, 2026Bamber BridgevsCleethorpes Town
- Nov 21, 2026Lancaster CityvsAshton United
- Nov 21, 2026United of ManchestervsRylands
- Nov 21, 2026Warrington TownvsGuiseley AFC
- Nov 21, 2026Whitby TownvsLeek Town