Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock: result 3-2 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 3Kick-off on July 11, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Ayr Utd won 3-2 on July 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 25′G. StangerAyr Utd
- 34′?Ayr Utd
- 43′B. LyonsKilmarnock
- 65′A. DowdsAyr Utd (pen.)
- 72′R. DeasKilmarnock
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kilmarnock have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2024 | Celtic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 2, 2024 | East Kilbride(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2024 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2024 | Dunfermline(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2024 | The New Saints(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Cerro Porteno(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 18, 2024 | Dundee(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| May 15, 2024 | Celtic(home) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| May 11, 2024 | ST Mirren(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kilmarnock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Kilmarnock 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Kilmarnock | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock on Mar 11, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy