Azam vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 75%, against 19% for a draw and 6% for Namungo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Namungo?
Azam starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Namungo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | KMC(away) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Azam win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Namungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Azam 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Namungo 1-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Azam 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Namungo 0-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Namungo 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Azam 1-3 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Namungo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 2nd in Ligi kuu Bara (7 points from 3 matches) and Namungo sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Azam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Namungo?
- The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 75%, against 19% for a draw and 6% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Azam vs Namungo played?
- Azam vs Namungo is played on October 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.