Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Singida Black Stars the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars?
Singida Black Stars starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Singida Black Stars have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mogadishu City(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Coastal Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Singida Black Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Coastal Union 2-1 Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Singida Black Stars 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Coastal Union 2-1 Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Singida Black Stars 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Singida Black Stars score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Singida Black Stars | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Singida Black Stars sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Singida Black Stars the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars played?
- Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars is played on October 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.