Kagera Sugar vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba
The Footlab AI model makes Kagera Sugar the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Namungo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kagera Sugar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagera Sugar vs Namungo?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Kagera Sugar (1,493) and Namungo (1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kagera Sugar vs Namungo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Namungo
4-3-3- 23H. Lukindo
- 11R. Chambo
- 21G. Matiko
- 12H. Swalehe
- 6G. Rogers
- 22N. Kapama
- 25J. Shemvuni
- 5F. Magingi
- 6S. Nsajigwa
- 50H. Msati
- 18A. Suleiman
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagera Sugar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Namungo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kagera Sugar win, 3 draws, 2 Namungo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2025 | Namungo 0-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Namungo 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Kagera Sugar 1-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Namungo 2-1 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Kagera Sugar on Jun 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Namungo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagera Sugar sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (5 points from 7 matches) and Namungo sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Kagera Sugar vs Namungo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagera Sugar vs Namungo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kagera Sugar the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Kagera Sugar vs Namungo played?
- Kagera Sugar vs Namungo is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaitaba Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.