Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Fountain Gate (1,483) and Pamba Jiji (1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 4-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fountain Gate win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Pamba Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Fountain Gate 1-2 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 1-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Fountain Gate 1-3 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 10th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji is played on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.