JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Black Rhino Academy Stadium, Karatu
The Footlab model makes JKT Tanzania the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate JKT Tanzania (1,552) and Mbeya City (1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JKT Tanzania have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 JKT Tanzania win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mbeya City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania 1-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Mbeya City 2-2 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Mbeya City 6-1 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 24, 2020 | JKT Tanzania 0-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Mbeya City 2-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JKT Tanzania score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JKT Tanzania | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JKT Tanzania sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Mbeya City sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mbeya City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | JKT Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab model makes JKT Tanzania the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City played?
- JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Black Rhino Academy Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.