Azerbaijan U21 vs Czechia U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 18Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dalğa Arena, Baku
The Footlab model makes Czechia U21 the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Azerbaijan U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azerbaijan U21 vs Czechia U21?
Czechia U21 starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,340).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azerbaijan U21 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Czechia U21 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kyrgyz Republic U20(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bahrain U20(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bulgaria U21(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Portugal U21(home) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gibraltar U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Gibraltar U21(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Scotland U21(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Portugal U21(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Serbia U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Bulgaria U21(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Azerbaijan U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Czechia U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Czechia U21 5-0 Azerbaijan U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Czechia U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 on Oct 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Azerbaijan U21 score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Czechia U21 score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan U21 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 3 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
| Czechia U21 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azerbaijan U21 sit 5th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 7 matches) and Czechia U21 sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Czechia U21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan U21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azerbaijan U21 vs Czechia U21?
- The Footlab model makes Czechia U21 the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Azerbaijan U21.
- Where and when is Azerbaijan U21 vs Czechia U21 played?
- Azerbaijan U21 vs Czechia U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dalğa Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 24, 2026Belgium U21vsBelarus U21
- Sep 25, 2026Bulgaria U21vsPortugal U21
- Sep 25, 2026Cyprus U21vsRomania U21
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