Where and when is Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 played?

Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at A. Le Coq Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 18Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Estonia U21

Faroe Islands U21

The Footlab model makes Estonia U21 the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Faroe Islands U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21?

Faroe Islands U21 starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,404 vs 1,279).

Estonia U21 win41 %

Draw25 %

Faroe Islands U21 win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia U21 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Faroe Islands U21 have 5, 0 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estonia U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Switzerland U21(away)	1-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026	Iceland U21(away)	2-6	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 13, 2025	France U21(away)	1-6	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025	Luxembourg U21(home)	2-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Sep 8, 2025	Iceland U21(home)	1-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Faroe Islands U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	Switzerland U21(away)	0-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025	France U21(away)	0-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025	Hungary U21(away)	0-3	Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025	Switzerland U21(home)	1-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025	France U21(home)	0-6	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Estonia U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Faroe Islands U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2025	Faroe Islands U21 2-1 Estonia U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Faroe Islands U21 vs Estonia U21 on Jun 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Estonia U21 score 0.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Faroe Islands U21 score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estonia U21	0.9	3.3	1	9/15	10/15
Faroe Islands U21	0.7	2.1	3	5/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estonia U21 sit 6th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (2 points from 7 matches) and Faroe Islands U21 sit 4th (9 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Faroe Islands U21	7	3	0	4	6	13	9
6	Estonia U21	7	0	2	5	8	21	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21?: The Footlab model makes Estonia U21 the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Faroe Islands U21.
Where and when is Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 played?: Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at A. Le Coq Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.