Atlético Central vs Mijas Las Lagunas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Mijas Las Lagunas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Central vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Atlético Central (1,853) and Mijas Las Lagunas (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Central have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mijas Las Lagunas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huétor Tájar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Melilla II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Central | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Central vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
- Where and when is Atlético Central vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?
- Atlético Central vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.