Grama vs Peralada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, Santa Coloma de Gramenet
The Footlab model makes Grama the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Peralada. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grama vs Peralada?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Grama (1,828) and Peralada (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Peralada have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Can Vidalet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vic(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Grama win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Peralada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Peralada 0-2 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Grama 1-1 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2025 | Peralada 3-2 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Grama 0-1 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Peralada 1-2 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Grama 1-0 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Grama score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Peralada score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grama | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Peralada | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grama sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (54 points from 34 matches) and Peralada sit 8th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grama | 34 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 35 | 54 |
| 8 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grama vs Peralada?
- The Footlab model makes Grama the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Peralada.
- Where and when is Grama vs Peralada played?
- Grama vs Peralada is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.