San Cristóbal vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Panamericano, San Cristóbal
The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for San Cristóbal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Cristóbal vs Tona?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate San Cristóbal (1,672) and Tona (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Cristóbal vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Cristóbal
Not enough data to predict the San Cristóbal lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Cristóbal have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Grama(home) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Cristóbal win, 2 draws, 3 Tona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Cristóbal 2-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Tona 0-0 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | San Cristóbal 0-4 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Tona 1-0 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Tona 1-2 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | San Cristóbal 1-3 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: San Cristóbal vs Tona on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Cristóbal score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Cristóbal | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Cristóbal sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 6 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | San Cristóbal | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about San Cristóbal vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Cristóbal vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for San Cristóbal.
- Where and when is San Cristóbal vs Tona played?
- San Cristóbal vs Tona is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Panamericano, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.