Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul played?

Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Pulpí

Atlético Pulpileño

Bala Azul

The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Atlético Pulpileño (1,784) and Bala Azul (1,737).

Atlético Pulpileño win43 %

Draw31 %

Bala Azul win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pulpileño have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Pulpileño
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	El Palmar(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Unión Molinense(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Cruz(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atlético Pulpileño win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bala Azul win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño 1-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 2, 2025	Bala Azul 0-0 Atlético Pulpileño	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 19, 2025	Bala Azul 1-1 Atlético Pulpileño	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 8, 2024	Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Pulpileño	0.9	0.8	8	5/15	2/15
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Pulpileño sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (50 points from 34 matches) and Bala Azul sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Atlético Pulpileño	34	13	11	10	30	29	50
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul played?: Atlético Pulpileño vs Bala Azul is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.