Match

Santomera vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

SantomeraAlcantarilla

The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs Alcantarilla?

Santomera starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,561).

48%27%25%
Santomera winDrawAlcantarilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Santomera vs Alcantarilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Santomera

Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.

Alcantarilla

4-3-3
  1. 19Bruno Tomás
  2. JJuan López
  3. LLuis Hueva
  1. GGonzalo Rodríguez
  2. PPedro López
  3. NNico Varela
  1. TTekio
  2. MMigue Marín
  3. SSalvi
  4. LLuis Manzanera
  1. 13Antonio Gallego

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Alcantarilla have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Bullas Deportivo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Algar(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 13, 2026Los Garres(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unión Molinense(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Santa Cruz(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Bala Azul(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 12, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 6, 2026Águilas II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Santomera wins, 0 draws, 0 Alcantarilla wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2025Alcantarilla 1-4 SantomeraTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 6, 2024Santomera 3-0 AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Alcantarilla vs Santomera on Apr 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santomera1.81.4210/1511/15
Alcantarilla0.71.275/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and Alcantarilla sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Santomera651014616
5Alcantarilla6231559

A question about Santomera vs Alcantarilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Alcantarilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Alcantarilla.
Where and when is Santomera vs Alcantarilla played?
Santomera vs Alcantarilla is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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