Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński played?

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin

Bałtyk Koszalin

Stargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Stargard Szczeciński starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,650).

Bałtyk Koszalin win26 %

Draw25 %

Stargard Szczeciński win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

Stargard Szczeciński
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Stargard Szczeciński 4-1 Bałtyk Koszalin	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 18, 2022	Bałtyk Koszalin 3-2 Stargard Szczeciński	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 14, 2021	Stargard Szczeciński 5-1 Bałtyk Koszalin	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15
Stargard Szczeciński	1.7	1.5	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Stargard Szczeciński	5	2	1	2	9	10	7
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński?: The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński played?: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.