Where and when is Kalisz vs Wda Świecie played?

Kalisz vs Wda Świecie is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kalisz vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

Kalisz

Wda Świecie

The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Wda Świecie?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,713) and Wda Świecie (1,756).

Kalisz win36 %

Draw25 %

Wda Świecie win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026	Górnik Łęczna(away)	0-2	Cup

Wda Świecie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kalisz	0.9	1.7	3	7/15	7/15
Wda Świecie	1.7	2.1	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Wda Świecie	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
8	Kalisz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Wda Świecie?: The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kalisz.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Wda Świecie played?: Kalisz vs Wda Świecie is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.