Match

Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino

LuzinoGrom Nowy Staw

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,693).

Luzino win67 %
Draw17 %
Grom Nowy Staw win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2
Grom Nowy Staw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Wda Świecie(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Elana Toruń(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15
Grom Nowy Staw2.02.025/85/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
14Grom Nowy Staw510410133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Grom Nowy Staw.
Where and when is Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw played?
Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Luzino and Grom Nowy Staw

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