Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Grom Nowy Staw | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Grom Nowy Staw | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Grom Nowy Staw.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw played?
- Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsUnia Swarzędz
- Sep 12, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsNoteć Czarnków
- Sep 12, 2026KaliszvsWda Świecie
- Sep 12, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsStargard Szczeciński
- Sep 12, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsGedania Gdansk
- Sep 12, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsElana Toruń
- Sep 12, 2026Victoria WrześniavsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Sep 12, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsLipno Stęszew