Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Toruń?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,771) and Elana Toruń (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Elana Toruń win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Elana Toruń 1-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kluczevia Stargard 1-2 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Elana Toruń 1-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Toruń?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Toruń played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Toruń is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsUnia Swarzędz
- Sep 12, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsNoteć Czarnków
- Sep 12, 2026KaliszvsWda Świecie
- Sep 12, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsStargard Szczeciński
- Sep 12, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsGedania Gdansk
- Sep 12, 2026LuzinovsGrom Nowy Staw
- Sep 12, 2026Victoria WrześniavsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Sep 12, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsLipno Stęszew