Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań II

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Lech Poznań II win43 %

Draw24 %

Noteć Czarnków win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	5-2	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Lech Poznań II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 15, 2026	Noteć Czarnków 2-1 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 17, 2025	Lech Poznań II 0-2 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 5, 2025	Lech Poznań II 2-2 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 18, 2024	Noteć Czarnków 2-0 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 12, 2023	Lech Poznań II 2-2 Noteć Czarnków	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II on Apr 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II	2.1	1.9	3	11/15	12/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lech Poznań II	5	3	1	1	12	9	10
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Lech Poznań II vs Noteć Czarnków is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.