Wda Świecie vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Stargard Szczeciński?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Wda Świecie win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński 1-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wda Świecie 3-2 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Stargard Szczeciński 1-2 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Stargard Szczeciński 1-3 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Wda Świecie on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Stargard Szczeciński | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | Stargard Szczeciński | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Stargard Szczeciński?
- The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Wda Świecie.
- Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Stargard Szczeciński played?
- Wda Świecie vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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