Floriana vs Mosta: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Mosta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Floriana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floriana vs Mosta?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,426).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Floriana vs Mosta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Floriana
4-3-3- 22T. Gudelj
- 9K. Dervisagic
- 90S. Odey
- 16Chapi
- 10F. Varela
- 12D. Vella
- 21C. Zammit Lonardelli
- 17O. Spiteri
- 3M. Beerman
- 6A. Drina
- 23G. Cioletti
Mosta
4-3-3- 7Nevin Portelli
- 30N. Cross
- 23A. Kozic
- 10Giancarlo
- 14E. Agyiri
- 66G. Acheampong
- 11K. Zammit
- 93Thiaguinho
- 5Sasha Cachia
- 3M. Bolaños
- 22Akpan Udoh
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floriana have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mosta have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Super Cup |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Floriana wins, 1 draw, 0 Mosta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Floriana 2-1 Mosta | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mosta 0-1 Floriana | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Floriana 3-0 Mosta | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Floriana 2-0 Mosta | FA Trophy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Floriana 2-2 Mosta | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Floriana 1-0 Mosta | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Floriana score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mosta score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floriana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mosta | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Floriana sit 2nd in Premier League (14 points from 7 matches) and Mosta sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Floriana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Mosta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
A question about Floriana vs Mosta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floriana vs Mosta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Mosta.
- Where and when is Floriana vs Mosta played?
- Floriana vs Mosta is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.