Bamber Bridge vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Bamber Bridge the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Curzon Ashton?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Bamber Bridge (1,655) and Curzon Ashton (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bamber Bridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Curzon Ashton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton 2-2 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Bamber Bridge 0-1 Curzon Ashton | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Bamber Bridge on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bamber Bridge sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab model makes Bamber Bridge the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Bamber Bridge vs Curzon Ashton is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.