Bury vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guiseley AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Guiseley AFC?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Bury (1,947) and Guiseley AFC (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Guiseley AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bury wins, 0 draws, 1 Guiseley AFC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 3-2 Bury | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Guiseley AFC | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Guiseley AFC sit 3rd (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 25 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Guiseley AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Guiseley AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guiseley AFC.
- Where and when is Bury vs Guiseley AFC played?
- Bury vs Guiseley AFC is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.