Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Redcar Athletic wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic?
Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Redcar Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Redcar Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Redcar Athletic have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avro(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lancaster City wins, 0 draws, 1 Redcar Athletic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic 3-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Redcar Athletic vs Lancaster City on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Redcar Athletic score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Redcar Athletic | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (20 points from 15 matches) and Redcar Athletic sit 1st (34 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 34 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 28 | 20 |
A question about Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic played?
- Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.