Match

Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire

Curzon AshtonCleethorpes Town

The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town?

Cleethorpes Town starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,710).

Curzon Ashton win30 %
Draw27 %
Cleethorpes Town win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Cleethorpes Town have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Curzon Ashton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026AFC Emley(away)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Bury(away)2-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Alfreton Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Cleethorpes Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ilkeston Town(away)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Warrington Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Quorn(away)5-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Curzon Ashton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cleethorpes Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2021Curzon Ashton 4-0 Cleethorpes TownFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town on Oct 2, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Curzon Ashton score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Curzon Ashton1.12.038/159/15
Cleethorpes Town1.50.776/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Curzon Ashton sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Cleethorpes Town sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cleethorpes Town541013213
16Curzon Ashton5113794

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town?
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Curzon Ashton.
Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town played?
Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Curzon Ashton and Cleethorpes Town

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