Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town?
Cleethorpes Town starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Cleethorpes Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Curzon Ashton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cleethorpes Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2021 | Curzon Ashton 4-0 Cleethorpes Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town on Oct 2, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Cleethorpes Town sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsAshton United
- Dec 12, 2026Hyde UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Dec 12, 2026Ilkeston TownvsBury
- Dec 12, 2026Leek TownvsWorkington
- Dec 12, 2026Lancaster CityvsGuiseley AFC
- Dec 12, 2026United of ManchestervsRedcar Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026Whitby TownvsQuorn
- Dec 12, 2026RylandsvsAlfreton Town