Workington vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Avro?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Workington win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Avro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro 4-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 19 | Workington | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Avro?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Workington.
- Where and when is Workington vs Avro played?
- Workington vs Avro is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.