Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,773) and Bromsgrove Sporting (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bromsgrove Sporting have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Alvechurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting 1-4 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Alvechurch 1-2 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Alvechurch 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Bromsgrove Sporting 0-2 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Alvechurch 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bromsgrove Sporting vs Alvechurch on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting played?
- Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Redditch UnitedvsWorcester City
- Oct 20, 2026Hitchin TownvsStamford
- Oct 20, 2026StourbridgevsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 20, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeighton Town
- Oct 20, 2026Needham MarketvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 20, 2026Rushall OlympicvsLeamington
- Oct 20, 2026Stratford TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 20, 2026Kettering TownvsLeiston