Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Gargždų miesto stadionas, Gargždai
The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Banga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Kauno Žalgiris starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banga have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kauno Žalgiris have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Banga win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kauno Žalgiris win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 0-1 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 1, 2026 | Banga 2-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris 0-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Banga 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Banga 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Kauno Žalgiris vs Banga on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banga score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banga sit 4th in A Lyga (36 points from 23 matches) and Kauno Žalgiris sit 2nd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Banga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
- The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Banga.
- Where and when is Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
- Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Gargždų miesto stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.