Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Telšių centrinis stadionas, Telšiai
The Footlab model makes Džiugas Telšiai the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Hegelmann Litauen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Džiugas Telšiai (1,655) and Hegelmann Litauen (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Džiugas Telšiai have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hegelmann Litauen have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 4-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Džiugas Telšiai win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hegelmann Litauen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| May 1, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 Džiugas Telšiai | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 4-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-2 Hegelmann Litauen | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Džiugas Telšiai score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann Litauen score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Džiugas Telšiai | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Džiugas Telšiai sit 5th in A Lyga (37 points from 25 matches) and Hegelmann Litauen sit 7th (23 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Džiugas Telšiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
- The Footlab model makes Džiugas Telšiai the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Hegelmann Litauen.
- Where and when is Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen played?
- Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen is played on August 31, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Telšių centrinis stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.