Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, Šiauliai
The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Šiauliai. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?
Suduva Marijampole starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šiauliai have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Suduva Marijampole have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 3-4 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-4 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banga(away) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 6, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Šiauliai win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Suduva Marijampole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 2-1 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| May 2, 2026 | Šiauliai 2-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 0-0 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Suduva Marijampole 2-2 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Šiauliai 2-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Šiauliai 2-2 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Šiauliai score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Suduva Marijampole score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šiauliai | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šiauliai sit 9th in A Lyga (16 points from 24 matches) and Suduva Marijampole sit 1st (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 50 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?
- The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Šiauliai.
- Where and when is Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole played?
- Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.