Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Džiugas Telšiai. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Kauno Žalgiris starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Džiugas Telšiai have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 4-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kauno Žalgiris win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Džiugas Telšiai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| May 5, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 2-2 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris 2-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| May 9, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-1 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris on Jul 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Džiugas Telšiai score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Džiugas Telšiai | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kauno Žalgiris sit 2nd in A Lyga (38 points from 22 matches) and Džiugas Telšiai sit 5th (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Džiugas Telšiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
- The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Džiugas Telšiai.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai played?
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.